Performance of a Large Language Model in Screening Citations

Abstract

Importance: Large language models (LLMs) are promising as tools for citation screening in systematic reviews. However, their applicability has not yet been determined. Objective: To evaluate the accuracy and efficiency of an LLM in title and abstract literature screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective diagnostic study used the data from the title and abstract screening process for 5 clinical questions (CQs) in the development of the Japanese Clinical Practice Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock. The LLM decided to include or exclude citations based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria in terms of patient, population, problem; intervention; comparison; and study design of the selected CQ and was compared with the conventional method for title and abstract screening. This study was conducted from January 7 to 15, 2024. Exposures: LLM (GPT-4 Turbo)-assisted citation screening or the conventional method. Main Outcomes and Measures: The sensitivity and specificity of the LLM-assisted screening process was calculated, and the full-text screening result using the conventional method was set as the reference standard in the primary analysis. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were also estimated, and screening times of the 2 methods were compared. Results: In the conventional citation screening process, 8 of 5634 publications in CQ 1, 4 of 3418 in CQ 2, 4 of 1038 in CQ 3, 17 of 4326 in CQ 4, and 8 of 2253 in CQ 5 were selected. In the primary analysis of 5 CQs, LLM-assisted citation screening demonstrated an integrated sensitivity of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.43 to 0.92) and specificity of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.99 to 0.99). Post hoc modifications to the command prompt improved the integrated sensitivity to 0.91 (95% CI, 0.77 to 0.97) without substantially compromising specificity (0.98 [95% CI, 0.96 to 0.99]). Additionally, LLM-assisted screening was associated with reduced time for processing 100 studies (1.3 minutes vs 17.2 minutes for conventional screening methods; mean difference, -15.25 minutes [95% CI, -17.70 to -12.79 minutes]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this prospective diagnostic study investigating the performance of LLM-assisted citation screening, the model demonstrated acceptable sensitivity and reasonably high specificity with reduced processing time. This novel method could potentially enhance efficiency and reduce workload in systematic reviews.

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